oints above the league average (.03 EPA per snap is the league average so far in 2016). But how does this compare with what we would expect fro

PITTSBURGH -- The Steelers will be without No. 2 receiver Markus Wheaton for their Monday Night Football opener at Washington.Wheaton told ESPN after Saturdays practice that he will miss the game with a shoulder injury, and the team confirmed he was out Saturday afternoon.The fourth-year receiver had said earlier in the week that he intended to play after missing significant time in the preseason with various injuries.The Steelers will roll into Washington with four receivers: Antonio Brown, Sammie Coates, Eli Rogers and Darrius Heyward-Bey. Rogers is the starting slot receiver, while Coates and Heyward-Bey will likely share time on the outside.Coates, a second-year player who showed drastic improvement in the offseason but was erratic in preseason play, said he is ready for the challenge.Im feeling good, Coates said. Gotta be prepared. Weve got a great group of wide receivers, some of the best in the country. Anybody can go in at any time.The Steelers are without some of their top offensive playmakers, including LeVeon Bell (suspension) and tight end Ladarius Green (PUP list, ankle). Yeezy Boost China Wholesale . Nine days before the opening ceremony, organizing committee chief Dmitry Chernyshenko said Wednesday that Sochi is "fully ready" and will deliver safe, friendly and well-run games that defy the grim reports that have overshadowed preparations. Yeezys Ireland For Sale . Anthony Davis had 31 points and 17 rebounds in his seventh straight game with more than 20 points, but that was only enough to keep the Pelicans competitive into the final minutes. Andrew Bogut had 10 points and 15 rebounds for Golden State, which rebounded from a loss a night earlier in Oklahoma City and snapped a two-game skid. http://www.yeezysupplyireland.com/ . PETERSBURG, Fla. Adidas Yeezy Boost Ireland . It was the kind of score that might make everyone else wonder which course he was playing. Except that Graeme McDowell saw the whole thing. Crouched behind the 10th green at Sheshan International, McDowell looked over at the powerful American and said, "Ive probably seen 18 of the best drives Ive seen all year in the last two days. Adidas Zx 750 Black Ireland . PAUL, Minn. With a defense and special teams both ranked in the middle of the pack, its clear that the Dallas Cowboys hopes this season rest with an offense that is ranked first in Expected Points Added (EPA) per game and EPA per snap. But Dallas is nearing a crossroads at the games most important position. Should they continue to ride rookie sensation Dak Prescott, or lean on veteran Tony Romo?when he returns? Its not as simple as saying, The team has gone 5-1 so far, so lets stick with him. The Cowboys coaches are obviously in the best position to understand each QBs abilities, but it might be wise to add some numbers to the discussion.Prescott has only six starts under his belt, so we dont have a long track record to examine. Theres little doubt hes talented, but when players start out very hot, its very difficult to sustain that level of performance. Usually, many favorable factors have combined to allow such a strong start, and those factors are far from assured to persist. Its not a guarantee, just a strong tendency known as reversion to the mean.To examine this further, I grouped all new starting QBs since 2001 into five quintiles (equally sized groups) according to how well their entire offenses did in their first six starts. Then I compared those performances with how each quintiles offenses did in their next 10 starts. The idea is to look at offenses as a whole, rather than just how the QB himself performs, for two reasons. Dallas has a lot of good pieces around Prescott, and those pieces and his own abilities complement each other. And overall offensive performance is also the thing the Cowboys care about the most -- theyre not in a fantasy league, after all.Prescott is in good company in the top quintile, which includes guys such as?Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger?and Cam Newton. But it also inncludes QBs who faded after hot starts, such as Tim Rattay, Aaron Brooks and Marc Bulger.dddddddddddd Trevor Siemian and Carson Wentz, two other notable newcomers to the league, would currently fall into the second-best group.Each of the five quintiles regresses to the mean in a different way, and Prescotts Cowboys would fall into the top quintile that holds on to much of its high level of performance through the next 10 starts. We can expect the Dallas offense to regress similarly, in the manner reflected in the graph below.Accounting for that regression, Prescotts Cowboys can expect to average about .09 EPA per snap, which would still be excellent, about sixth or seventh in the league. For context, over a typical game of about 67 plays, .09 EPA per snap would translate into about +4 net points above the league average (.03 EPA per snap is the league average so far in 2016). But how does this compare with what we would expect from Romo?The Cowboys offensive production during Romos career averages .07 EPA per snap, or about +3 net points per game above average, slightly less than what we might expect with Prescott. But in his last 32 starts, Dallas has performed slightly better, at .09 EPA per snap, or about +4 net points above average per game.There are many considerations we havent accounted for, such as Romos age and associated injury concerns, Dez Bryants absence or presence, or opponent strength. But by seeing how top offenses tend to perform after hot starts under new QBs, we can get a rough approximation of what to expect through the rest of the regular season. The results of this exercise show that, analytically speaking, the Cowboys can feel justified going with either quarterback. ' ' '